@Makool is the League Of Ireland betting correspondent for http://www.scottishfootballtips.com and boosts an enviable return on investment this season. Today he brings us a 30/1 shot to nothing from the First Division.
Many might ask why I am talking up a team who have won just 12 of their last 64 league matches and you would be right to wonder. They are hosting a side who are favoured to go right back up to the Premier Division this season and who the bookies make heavy odds on favourites to win the game today.
Lets be honest, if my life depended on it there is not a chance in hell I would choose this bet. But my life doesn’t depend on it, just my reputation and that’s something I can always win back.
Cobh Ramblers have in fact won less than 20/% of their last 64 league games so their price of 5/1 seems fair enough, right? They certainly aren’t an elite side in Ireland and that’s exemplified by the fact that they haven’t won away from home in 35 attempts. But if they haven’t won away from home in nearly two years, that means all their wins have come at home and that means they have won 43% of their last 35 home games (15/35). Suddenly 5/1 doesn’t seem so bad.
Even better they have won their last two home matches by 1-0 scorelines and today’s opponents, Athlone Town, have lost three from five failing to score in two of them. By all means back Cobh to win today but I am going to risk a smaller stake for a bigger payday.
Backing Cobh to win 1-0 pays 14/1 with Coral and backing them to win 2-0 pays 40/1 with Coral. I am not saying that this bet will come in but I think it has a chance and I think it’s overpriced.
Recommended bets:
Cobh Ramblers to win 1-0 @ 14/1 with Coral (0.25 Pts)
Cobh Ramblers to win 2-0 @ 40-1 with Coral (0.2 Pts)
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